The Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win their National League East matchup against the Washington Nationals on Monday, Aug. 3, according to a model that simulates every MLB game 10,000 times.
The Phillies have won eight of the past 11 meetings between the teams, and they're looking to keep their momentum going after defeating Baltimore 8-0 on Sunday. The Nationals, on the other hand, are coming off a four-game losing streak, including a 4-2 loss to the Atlanta Braves on Sunday.
The Nationals traded one of their top hitters, Luis Garcia, to the Yankees on Sunday night, which could impact their lineup against the Phillies. The Nationals are 32-24 on the road this season, but they've struggled recently, losing five games in a row.
The Phillies, meanwhile, have won two games in a row and are 59-53 on the season. They're 28-27 at home, but they've been strong against the Nationals, who are a -153 favorite on the money line.
The model projects the teams to combine for 9.7 total runs, with the Over hitting in four of the past seven head-to-head meetings. The Phillies are projected to get over 1.5 total bases or more from several players, including Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, and Brandon Marsh.
The Phillies have a strong home-field advantage, but the Nationals have been solid on the road this season. The teams will face off at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, with first pitch set for 6:40 p.m. ET.
The model has made a sizzling 42-29 run on all top-rated MLB picks this season, and it's projecting the Phillies to win on Monday. The Phillies have won eight of the past 11 meetings between the teams, and they're looking to keep their momentum going.
The Phillies will look to their star players to lead the way against the Nationals. With several players projected to get over 1.5 total bases or more, the Phillies have a strong chance of winning on Monday.
The Phillies and Nationals will meet at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Monday, Aug. 3, with first pitch set for 6:40 p.m. ET. The Phillies are favored to win, according to a model that simulates every MLB game 10,000 times.
Source: CBS
