The Green Bay Packers enter Sunday Night Football as 1.5-point favorites against the Dallas Cowboys at Lambeau Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET, with the Packers holding a 3-2 record and the Cowboys sitting at 2-3 after recent uneven performances.
Dallas suffered a 24-16 home defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, marking their second loss in three games. The Cowboys have split their two away fixtures this season, standing at 1-1 on the road. Meanwhile, Green Bay cruised to a 31-7 victory over the Chicago Bears in Week 5 and are 1-1 at home this season, currently second in the NFC North.
The Packers have dominated recent meetings with Dallas, holding a 10-1-1 record over the last 12 encounters. Their most recent clash ended in a rare 40-40 tie last season, reflecting a history of high-scoring contests between these NFC rivals. The over/under for total points in Sunday’s game is set at 53.5, the highest for Week 6 and up three points since the line opened.
SportsLine’s proven NFL model, which has a 57-46 record on top-rated picks since 2024, simulated the game 10,000 times. It projects the game going over the 53.5 total points mark, with a 52 percent probability of that outcome. The model notes that the over has hit in seven of the last 10 Packers-Cowboys matchups and nine of the last 10 Dallas games overall. The Cowboys have also seen the over hit in three of their four games with a line over 48 points.
Dallas’s defensive struggles contribute to the expectation of a high-scoring game. They rank 31st in total yards allowed at 395.4 per game and concede 27.2 points per contest, 25th in the NFL. Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love has been efficient this season, completing 60.5 percent of his passes for 1,408 yards, 10 touchdowns, and three interceptions through five starts. His main target, wide receiver Christian Watson, has 26 catches for 474 yards and six touchdowns, including eight plays of 20 yards or more, with a long reception of 81 yards.
The Cowboys rely on quarterback Dak Prescott, who has completed 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,381 yards, nine touchdowns, and three interceptions over five games. His top receiver, CeeDee Lamb, leads the team with 39 receptions for 507 yards and four touchdowns.
Moneyline odds favor Green Bay at -112, meaning a $112 risk is needed to win $100. The SportsLine model also indicates one side of the spread covers 60 percent of the time after simulations, though the specific side has not been disclosed in the latest update. The total projected points according to the model stand at 54.
With the Packers favored and the betting lines reflecting a potentially high-scoring contest, the Sunday night meeting promises a competitive NFC showdown under the Lambeau lights. Fans and bettors alike await the kickoff, with the latest confirmed details pointing to a game that could test Dallas’s defensive vulnerabilities and Green Bay’s offensive consistency.
According to CBS.
