The Chicago Bears will start quarterback Tyson Bagent when they visit the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, aiming for a third consecutive victory over their NFC North rivals. Bears coach Ben Johnson confirmed the decision despite Caleb Williams being listed as questionable with a hamstring issue. Bagent stepped in last week against the New York Jets and completed 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards with one interception in a 23-12 win.
Chicago enters the game with a 3-1 record, carrying momentum from back-to-back wins, while the Packers stand at 2-2 after a narrow 17-14 victory over Tampa Bay. Green Bay is currently tied with Detroit for third place in the division and has yet to win on home turf this season, standing 0-1 at Lambeau Field in 2026.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET in Green Bay. The Bears are slight favorites, with betting odds placing them as 1.5-point road favorites. The over/under for total points scored is set at 47. Football analytics site SportsLine’s projection model has simulated the game 10,000 times, predicting the total points will go over 46.5 in 57 percent of those simulations. The model projects a combined score of 49 points.
The Bears’ offense looks to be led by Bagent, who has shown poise stepping into the starting role. Wide receiver Rome Odunze is one of Chicago’s most explosive players, with 14 catches for 233 yards this season, including six receptions exceeding 20 yards. The Packers will rely on quarterback Jordan Love, who has started four games and completed 56.5 percent of his passes for 1,041 yards, eight touchdowns, and three interceptions.
The matchup carries extra weight as the Bears seek to extend their winning streak against Green Bay to three games, a run that would be unusual given the long-standing rivalry. Chicago’s recent success against the Packers has raised questions about the consistency of Green Bay’s home performances, especially with the team struggling at Lambeau early in the season.
The model behind SportsLine’s projections also indicates that one side of the spread hits more than half the time, though it does not specify which. This insight adds an extra layer of intrigue for bettors ahead of the Week 5 clash.
With Williams’ availability uncertain, the Bears’ quarterback situation remains a storyline to watch. For now, Bagent’s solid performance last week gives Chicago a clear option as they look to maintain their edge in the division. Green Bay will hope Love can continue to find rhythm and keep the Packers competitive on home ground.
The game figures to be a close contest under the autumn sky in Wisconsin, with both teams eager to claim bragging rights in one of the NFL’s oldest rivalries.
According to CBS.
