FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Our model predicts a 7-1 upset by Brooks Koepka

FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Our model predicts a 7-1 upset by Brooks Koepka

The 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds have been released, with Scottie Scheffler emerging as the favorite at +550. However, SportsLine's proprietary model is predicting a 7-1 upset by Brooks Koepka.

The top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings will be in the field this week, with the top 50 from this no-cut event advancing to the BMW Championship. The purse is $20 million and points are quadrupled compared to standard PGA events, so the standings can shift dramatically based on the outcome.

Scottie Scheffler is the clear favorite this week, but SportsLine's model is high on several longshots, including Sam Burns at +2000. Burns has been right on the doorstep at some of the biggest events of the year, finishing T7 or better at the Masters, the Memorial, the U.S. Open, and the Open Championship.

SportsLine's model has a history of being extremely profitable, having nailed a whopping 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters and last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. The model simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable.

Brooks Koepka, a 7-1 longshot, is one of the model's top picks. The model is also targeting a massive longshot of higher than +3000 to make a strong run up the leaderboard. However, Schauffele, who has the third-lowest odds this week at +2000, doesn't even crack the top 10, according to the model.

Schauffele finished second at the Rocket Classic a couple weeks back, but that was his first top-10 finish since May. He's also winless during the 2026 PGA Tour schedule. Burns, on the other hand, has been consistent all season, ranking 12th on tour in the strokes gained: total and third in strokes gained: putting.

The 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship field is set, and the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, revealing some surprising results. Head to SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard and get the inside scoop on which longshots to fade and which to pick.

The tournament is set to begin on Thursday at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tenn., with the top 70 players in the FedEx Cup standings competing for a share of the $20 million purse. The stakes are high, and the model's picks could make all the difference in the outcome of the tournament.


Source: CBS