The New York Giants will attempt to extend their lead in the NFC East when they face the Washington Commanders on Thursday night at MetLife Stadium. The Giants hold a 5-2-1 record this season and have won three of their four games at home, while Washington sits at 2-5-1 and has yet to win on the road, posting an 0-3 mark away from home.
New York eked out a 19-11 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, maintaining momentum after a tense finish. Washington dropped a 20-13 game to the Los Angeles Rams on the same day, a result that left the Commanders third in the division and searching for answers. The rivalry has recently tilted in Washington’s favor, with the Commanders unbeaten in the last five meetings, going 4-0-1.
Quarterback Jayden Daniels has been a steady presence for Washington, completing 63.9% of his passes for 1,250 yards and seven touchdowns without throwing an interception in six starts. Daniels also leads the team on the ground, rushing 31 times for 252 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 8.1 yards per carry. His dual-threat ability has been a significant part of Washington’s offense, even as the team struggles overall.
New York’s offense has leaned on quarterback J.J. McCarthy since acquiring him in a midseason trade. McCarthy, who was limited in practice on Monday with a hip issue but took full part on Tuesday, has completed 63.2% of his passes for 622 yards and one touchdown with one interception over four games. He has also contributed 51 rushing yards on nine carries. Running back Cam Skattebo, recovering from a hamstring injury, also practiced fully Tuesday after being limited Monday, providing the Giants with more options on offense.
The betting market has New York as a 1.5-point favorite, with the over/under for total points set at 40.5 after dropping from an initial 44.5. The under has prevailed in seven of the last nine meetings in New York, but recent trends suggest a higher-scoring game. The over has hit three times in the last four head-to-head clashes and appeared in six of Washington’s last ten games and seven of New York’s last ten.
SportsLine’s model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, projects a combined score of 50 points for this matchup, favoring the over 66% of the time. The model, which has achieved a 62-52 record on top-rated picks since 2024, also predicts one side of the spread will cover in over half the simulations, though the details on which side are behind a paywall.
The Giants will aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage and continue their strong conference record of 3-2-1. Washington’s challenge remains breaking their road winless streak while facing a divisional leader. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. Eastern Time at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
According to CBS.
